Micro LED Market Forecast and Its Grinding & Polishing Application Scenarios

Industry Popularization
2025.12.28
01 Advantages and Application Scenarios of Micro-LED
------------------ Micro-LED Advantages ------------------
① High brightness and high contrast ratio
② Ultra-high resolution and great flexibility
③ Lower power consumption and long service life
④ Excellent light transmittance
------------------ Micro-LED Application Scenarios ------------------
① High-end TV
→ Next-generation home TV solution with superior image quality far exceeding traditional displays:


High brightness, low energy consumption, long service life, high contrast

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② Wearable Devices
→ The optimal technology that balances "transparency + immersion":

High brightness, high efficiency, excellent outdoor performance

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③ VR & AR Devices
→ Deliver ultra-high resolution and low-latency solutions:

The next evolutionary direction for VR/AR industry

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④ Automotive Display Screens
→ Provide clearer and more delicate information display solutions:

High fluency, high contrast and high definition

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02 Micro-LED Substrate Selection
------------------ Micro-LED Substrate ------------------
The core function of the substrate is to provide a "growth platform" for the light-emitting layer. It needs to meet three key requirements: lattice constant matching (reducing material defects), high thermal conductivity (heat dissipation), and high mechanical strength (adapting to mass transfer). There are four mainstream types of substrates:
Sapphire (Al₂O₃)
Low cost, good light transmittance, mature mass production technology
High lattice mismatch rate (13% difference with GaN), low thermal conductivity (≈40 W/m·K)
Mid-to-low-end Micro-LED (commercial splicing screens, affordable TVs)
Silicon-based (Si)
Ultra-low cost (mature semiconductor industry substrate), supports large-size (12-inch) wafers, compatible with CMOS driver integration
High lattice mismatch rate (≈17%), large thermal expansion coefficient difference (prone to cracking)
Mainstream mass production direction in the future (defect problems to be solved)
GaN Homogeneous Substrate
Complete lattice matching (0% mismatch rate), highest luminous efficiency
Extremely high cost (more than 3 times that of SiC), difficult mass production
Laboratory-level high-end devices (such as laser Micro-LED)
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------------------ Future Trends of Micro-LED Materials ------------------
The Micro-LED semiconductor material system is centered on GaN-based compounds (blue/green light), with GaAs-based/nitride materials as red light supplements. Substrate materials are in a transition period from "sapphire" to "silicon-based".
Breakthroughs in material technology (especially red light efficiency, silicon-based integration and full-color compatibility) are the key for Micro-LED to shift from "high-end customization" to "consumer-grade popularization". In the next 3-5 years, with the maturity of red light materials and low-cost substrates, Micro-LED costs will drop significantly, gradually replacing OLED and Mini LED to become the mainstream display technology.
03 Application of Thinning Grinding Wheels in Micro-LED Production

------------------ Substrate and Epitaxial Growth ------------------

Process
Core Operation
Consumables
Substrate Selection and Pretreatment
Select mainstream sapphire, SiC, low-cost silicon or flexible substrates (such as PI), and perform cleaning, thinning and polishing to remove impurities
Thinning grinding wheel
Epitaxial Layer Growth
Adopt MOCVD (Metal-Organic Chemical Vapor Deposition) technology to grow AlN buffer layer, N-type GaN layer, InGaN/GaN quantum well light-emitting layer and P-type GaN layer layer by layer
—
Epitaxial Wafer Inspection
Detect luminous wavelength and crystal quality through PL (Photoluminescence) and XRD (X-ray Diffraction)
—

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------------------ Micro-LED Chip Manufacturing ------------------

Process
Core Operation
Consumables
Chip Patterning
Sapphire lithography + etching
—
Electrode Preparation
Metal deposition + stripping
—
Chip Thinning
Backside grinding + polishing
Thinning grinding wheel
Laser Lift-off
—
—
Chip Dicing and Sorting
—
—

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04 China Micro-LED Market Forecast

------------------ China Market Driving Factors ------------------
① Technological Breakthroughs and Cost Reduction Forecast
2026-2027: The yield rate will increase from the current less than 10% to over 30%, and the cost will drop below USD 100 per square meter.
2028-2030: Mass transfer technology will mature, with costs falling to 1.5-2 times that of OLED, enabling large-scale commercial application.
② Strong Policy Support
National Strategy: Listed as a key supported strategic emerging industry in the 14th Five-Year Plan.
Local Policies:
Shanghai: Maximum subsidy of RMB 10 million for key Micro-LED technology R&D;
Xiamen: Build G6-level mass transfer pilot platform to provide full-chain services;
Beijing Economic and Technological Development Zone: Provide special support for Micro-LED technology in the XR field.
③ Industrial Chain Synergy Effect

China has prominent advantages in LED chips (accounting for 60% of global production capacity), TFT backplanes and display terminals, providing strong support for the Micro-LED industry.

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------------------ China Market Scale Forecast ------------------
Key Market Growth Nodes
2025: Small-scale trial production, high-end commercial market launch, market scale exceeding RMB 5 billion, with the annual consumption of thinning grinding wheels expected to exceed 1,000 pieces.
2026-2028: Industry outbreak period. With improved yield rate and reduced costs, Micro-LED will penetrate mid-to-high-end consumer electronics fields.
2030: Large-scale commercialization, occupying 30%-45% of the global market share, with a market scale of RMB 48-85 billion. The annual consumption of thinning grinding wheels is expected to exceed 10,000 pieces.
China's Micro-LED industry will witness explosive growth, with 2026-2028 as the critical transition period. Driven by technological breakthroughs and cost reduction, the market will gradually expand from high-end commercial scenarios (2025-2027) to consumer electronics scenarios (2028-2030), eventually forming a mature market worth tens of billions by 2030. Boasting broad development prospects, China is expected to become the world's largest production and consumption market for Micro-LED by 2030.